Joe Biden Has A Higher Poll Rating Than Boris Johnson

In News

President Joe Biden has the lowest approval rating, but a peek across the Atlantic reveals that UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, a Conservative Party member, has approval ratings comparable to Richard Nixon’s when he resigned from the US presidency in 1974.

In Summary

  • US Vice President Joe Biden has the lowest approval rating of any president, except Donald Trump.
  • Boris Johnson, the UK Prime Minister, has a relatively similar popularity rating as Richard Nixon, who resigned in 1974.
  • Boris’ party members have already begun plotting his ouster. Biden’s approval ratings almost entirely hinge on the economy and the coronavirus case.
  • Inflation, a major source of economic distress, is expected to diminish in 2022, and the United States is likewise adding a significant lot of new jobs.
President Richard Nixon. PHOTO COURTESY

Joe Biden, Boris Johnson approval rating analysis

President Joe Biden has the lowest approval rating of any elected president after one year in office, save for former President Donald Trump. However, a glance across the Atlantic Ocean demonstrates that Biden’s situation can always worsen.

The UK Prime Minister and a Conservative Party member, Boris Johnson, is embroiled in a scandal involving parties held during Covid lockdowns. His approval ratings are comparable to those of Richard Nixon when he resigned as President of the United States in 1974.

According to various polls, Johnson currently enjoys a popularity rating of around 24% among Britons. (Biden’s approval rating among US people is approximately 41%.)

The 24% figure is low by both American and British standards. Apart from Nixon, Johnson’s popularity is comparable to that of two other US presidents: Harry Truman and George W. Bush in the latter stages of their second terms. Truman was entangled in a foreign war and faced a shaky economy. Bush encountered the same issue.

Both Truman and Bush’s parties suffered unprecedented defeats in the subsequent election. Their parties were defeated for the presidency in landslides and suffered losses in the House and Senate.

When leaders’ ratings fall to this low in the UK, something similar occurs. First, examine Ipsos data dating back to 1977. Johnson’s popularity rating has been worse than 93 percent of all prime ministers since the late 1970s. Gordon Brown, who served as Prime Minister in the late 2000s, was the last prime minister.

Brown’s Labour Party lost the subsequent general election, and he was removed from office as Prime Minister. This has been a recurring topic in British politics during the last 45 years.

Every prime minister whose popularity fell to Johnson’s level failed to regain it. Instead, they either resigned from office (like Tony Blair did) or lost the subsequent general election (like Brown or John Major).

Johnson is not resigning at this point, and the next general election will be held in almost two years. However, he still has time to recuperate. The pressure to resign may eventually catch up with him since several party members are already plotting his ouster. If a sufficient number of Conservative members of parliament desire it, they can depose Johnson.


US political matrix vis-a-vis UK’s

Biden is in no way comparable to Johnson. While Biden’s popularity within his party has waned, he is unlikely to face serious opposition if he decides to run for another term as president.

Additionally, Biden is aware that there is precedent for presidents as unpopular as he improving their standing and ultimately earning another term in office. Ronald Reagan (1983) and Harry Truman (1946) were less popular later in their terms than Biden is now but won the next presidential election.

Recently, Barack Obama was nearly as unpopular following the 2010 midterm elections and was re-elected. Trump won dangerously close to winning a second term while being more unpopular at times than Biden.

Biden’s scores might easily improve as the country’s conditions alter. His approval ratings have been virtually entirely dependent on the state of the economy and the coronavirus. Inflation, a major source of economic discontent, is expected to diminish in 2022. The United States is likewise adding a significant lot of new jobs.

The situation with coronaviruses appears to be improving as well. However, the number of new instances is decreasing, and we have no clue where we will be in 2024.

Truckers Protest Vaccine Mandates In Cities Across Canada. PHOTO COURTESY

Even if the 2024 election were held today, it is far from certain that Biden would lose. Instead, he’s essentially matching Trump, who remains his most likely opponent. Biden benefits from the reality that presidential elections are ultimately a matter of choice, and the alternative to Biden is nearly as unpopular as he is.

On the other hand, Johnson is unlikely to benefit from his confrontation with such an unpopular opponent. Instead, Keir Starmer, Labour Party leader, is not beloved, but his net popularity ratings are on a par with, if not better than, Biden’s (depending on the poll).

Of course, the majority of voters in a general election will not have the opportunity to vote directly for Johnson or Starmer. Instead, they’ll vote for Conservative, Labour, and other party candidates in their areas (or districts).

Johnson is in worse shape than Biden by this criterion. In every reliable poll, Johnson’s Conservative Party lags behind Starmer’s Labour Party. On average, the deficit is in the low single digits. It is one of the Conservative Party’s worst positions in the recent decade.

However, the best approach to view Johnson’s vs. Biden’s condition is to recognize that both may lose the next general election, albeit in very different ways.

Biden may voluntarily opt not to run because he will be in his 80s by the next presidential election.

Johnson may be obliged to quit as a function of his overwhelming unpopularity.

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